Open Letter: Why I, Kevin Kofler, am not rerunning for FESCo
Jesse Keating
jkeating at redhat.com
Tue May 4 02:01:43 UTC 2010
On Tue, 2010-05-04 at 01:58 +0200, Kevin Kofler wrote:
> Jesse Keating wrote:
> > Please stop banding about the forum poll as if it were some sort of
> > scientific measure with meaningful results one could use as a basis for
> > decision making.
>
> It's the best data we have.
Bad data is worse than no data.
>
> > It was none of that. All it gave us was info we already had. Some users
> > would like more adventurous stuff, while some users would not. We already
> > had that information, the poll told us nothing new.
>
> The poll told us an approximate proportion, which is so far from 50-50
> (72.13%) that we clearly have a statistically significant majority, also
> considering the sample size N=183. If you want me to actually compute some
> p-values and do statistical tests, I can do that, but to me the numbers look
> obvious.
>
> Now you may try to argue that the sample is biased, but you have no actual
> evidence towards that.
Of course the sample is biased. It's a sample of people who frequent
the forums, that's a self selecting group of people, by no means a
worthwhile representation of the Fedora user base as a whole.
>
> In the absence of better data, the data we have is what we should use as the
> basis for our decision, not your personal opinion nor some imaginary "silent
> majority" which never has been proven to exist.
>
> If you aren't happy with the data, start collecting some better one!
>
> Kevin Kofler
>
Proper scientific data collection is hard, really hard. To do it right
would take a lot of time and engineering and even argument. I don't
want to put in that time, nor do I think we could ever be able to truly
have a good representation as we have no hard data on who all uses
Fedora, and in which ways.
--
Jesse Keating
Fedora -- Freedom² is a feature!
identi.ca: http://identi.ca/jkeating
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