More people are becoming more advanced users.  I like to think of it in terms of a math equation.  User + Purpose = OS.  For example:
 
Noob, just point and click + Web and email = Windows
 
Noob, just point and click + Web and email at work = Windows (Pro)
 
Power user, still mostly point and click + Web and email = Ubuntu
 
Power user, command line literate + Web and email = Fedora
 
Sysadmin + basic nonessential services = ANYTHING, doesn't matter.
 
Sysadmin + essential services = RHEL, CentOS, BSD
 
Satellite systems engineer + Mission critical ground console = HPUX
 
Or something along those lines.


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