Alan Cox alan@lxorguk.ukuu.org.uk writes:
What really matters is whether the drive itself thinks on its smart test whether it is likely to be failing not some joke heuristic.
And even then, if the 5-year old Google numbers are still valid, you have a 1/3 chance of being surprised.
"The Google team found that 36% of the failed drives did not exhibit a single SMART-monitored failure. They concluded that SMART data is almost useless for predicting the failure of a single drive."
ref: http://storagemojo.com/2007/02/19/googles-disk-failure-experience/
-wolfgang