ARM as a primary architecture

Chris Murphy lists at
Thu Mar 22 20:08:08 UTC 2012

On Mar 22, 2012, at 12:15 PM, drago01 wrote:

> Last time I checked a "paper" isn't a laptop / pc so replacing a paper
> with tablets (which can be the better choice depending on the use
> case) does not mean "people are replacing there pcs with tablets".

Both jump from PC dependency, and skipping it altogether are occurring simultaneously.

> Because it makes sense there. Again I didn't say that tablets are
> entirely useless. I just said "tablets are a new type of device not
> desktop/laptop replacements".

They are a new type of device. They are increasingly desktop/laptop replacements.

> A kindle (unless you mean the kindle fire tablet) is an ereader which
> aligns exactly with what I have said.

I think you overestimate the need/dependency people have for desktop/laptop computers. 

>>> Most people that buy smartphones today *do* have laptops / desktoĆ¼s.
>> In the whole world? You're sure about that? I'm not.
> It might not be the case in some regions but overall yes.

Speculation. Since you took the rope and claim most people who buy smart phones do have laptops, you're invited to provide a reference.

Are you aware that the number of middle class Chinese equals the entire U.S. population? That it's predicted to be ~700 million by 2020? Have you tried using two-byte languages on computers with a keyboard? It sucks.

>> I see this as 2-4 years for the consumer desktop upgrade market's meaningful existence. 4-6 years for laptops. People use them less and less already, and will upgrade them less frequently. And at the point where what they want to do on mobile no longer requires them to go to laptop? Why have one?
> Again creating content. Anything that requires more then typing a few sentences.

iPads have had wireless keyboard for some time. This whole email can be done just as quickly on an iPad as a desktop computer. I don't have a nice 24" screen, only because iPads don't yet have Thunderbolt. They will.

>>> Office, DTP and probably others or in short "content creation".
>> My customers are desktop publishing. It's a small market.
> Yes but it is just one of the "content creating" markets.

All of content creation is a small marke next to consumer markets. It's always been this way.

> Again reading is content consumption which makes sense on ereaders
> (and maybe tablets to an extent) but actually writing the books? No.
> My point is if you are only consuming content you might be fine with
> just a tablet but as soon as you want to create content it is no
> longer fine.
> Each tool has its uses.

The overwhelming bulk of the market is consumption. Not creation. And the growth is in the former, not the latter.

Chris Murphy

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