ARM as a primary architecture

[Chris Murphy]

On Mar 22, 2012, at 3:16 AM, drago01 wrote:
> 
> I said the people I was talking about used them as toys. (Please read
> what I wrote and don't try to refute stuff that isn't even written
> there).

Don't get in a huff over things I haven't said either. Most people are also very entertained by these toys.

> 
> Again see the enterprise part "(it does make sense for some uses
> though)." ... those are those uses. I am not saying tablets are
> useless. I am just saying those are *different* devices.
> You don't replace a plane with a car either.

That's improper logic. The iPad is replacing 15 pounds of Jeppessen charts. Paper. They are going directly from paper to tablets. No laptop in between. As an (inactive) pilot, I fully expect professional pilots to migrate strictly to tablets on the road, and maybe intermittently use a desktop/laptop as a transitional device. That is already underway.


> 
> Well I'd prefer a real boot or an ereader over a computer or tablet.

My dad is 82. My sister bought him a Kindle for his birthday middle of last year. He uses it more than the laptop, more than real books. The transition took maybe a couple of months.

> 
> Most people that buy smartphones today *do* have laptops / desktoüs.

In the whole world? You're sure about that? I'm not.


> Actually speed isn't an advantage see the (now dead) netbook hype. For
> most people current speed is "good enough" (hence no need to go buy a
> new computer every year).

I see this as 2-4 years for the consumer desktop upgrade market's meaningful existence. 4-6 years for laptops. People use them less and less already, and will upgrade them less frequently. And at the point where what they want to do on mobile no longer requires them to go to laptop? Why have one?

> 
> Office, DTP and probably others or in short "content creation".

My customers are desktop publishing. It's a small market. And yes, they will continue to buy more powerful machines longer than the rest of the market. But look at where Adobe is emphasizing new development. Cloud applications. For content creators.

One of my largest customers has done more training and modernization for content creators recently than in years, primarily driven by ebook. That demand is not ebook on laptop, it's ebook on mobile devices.


>>> So no there is still a marked beyond the consumption only devices
>>> (tablets) and the data centers (servers). The world is not black and
>>> white.
>> 
>> It is a shrinking market.
> 
> it is a saturated marked.

Yeah, it's a popping bubble.



Chris Murphy