Buy an SSD now, or wait?

[夜神 岩男]

On 12/23/2011 11:47 PM, Alan Cox wrote:
>> advancement.  That situation will ease--the industry is saying by second
>> quarter, but my bet is for at least a year, maybe 16-18 months (since they
>> have to either dry out and refurbish flooded facilities, build new
>> facilities, or expand existing facilities--all real-world bricks'n'sticks
>
> Maybe - but given a big pile of insurance money and the fact the hard
> disk market is clearly going to rapidly shrink as SSD, SDHC and the like
> take over would you rebuild the factory or put the money into something
> else ?
>
> I seriously wonder how many of the HD manufacturers will bother to
> rebuild those plants. Mend slighty damaged ones yes, but rebuild ?
>
> I'm now using SSD for non-critical data but with a hard disk as the
> mirror and with my home dir split into two sections one on each. I guess
> over time I'll move more to SSD.

The plants aren't destroyed, just mushy and dirty. I just happened to be 
there the other day. Wet, yes, but for the most part everything is 
intact and accounted for. Anyway, the goings on didn't stop a bunch of 
Thaksinites from getting all crazy near Lumpini and having a rally while 
I was there -- and having been around the place more than a little over 
the last decade I'd say that's a healthy indication that there is plenty 
of (local, at least) motivation to get back on track making money again.

The market will change eventually, but it is extremely early in the game 
to be proclaiming the actual end of spinning disk media. We're more than 
a few years away from that, so the factories will get cleaned and put 
back into operation as soon as possible. I didn't make it all the way to 
see how things are in Ayutthaya, but my friends tell me folks had 
already barriered, bildged and were cleaning some places around there.

Pictures of water look really neat in media, I think. The reality is 
nearly everybody is finding a way around the mess to carry on with life 
(the busses are even still running, though it looks comical somtimes in 
50cm of water, but that's not *everywhere*, actually). Farmers will have 
a bumper crop next year, in any event...